Zoho Sheet

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State	EVs	Bush	Kerry	% Incr. in Black Turnout?	% Incr. in 18-29 Turnout?	% Decr. in Repub. Turnout?	McCain %	Obama %	McCain	Obama	Change in Net %
Alaska	3	63.23%	36.77%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	19088900.00%	11102500.00%	63.23%	36.77%	0.00%
Arkansas	10	54.93%	45.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	57318200.00%	47023000.00%	54.93%	45.07%	0.00%
Colorado	9	52.37%	47.63%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	110125500.00%	100173200.00%	52.37%	47.63%	0.00%
Florida	27	52.52%	47.48%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	396452200.00%	358354400.00%	52.52%	47.48%	0.00%
Georgia	15	58.35%	41.65%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	191425400.00%	136614900.00%	58.35%	41.65%	0.00%
Indiana	11	60.42%	39.58%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	147943800.00%	96901100.00%	60.42%	39.58%	0.00%
Iowa	7	50.34%	49.66%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	75195700.00%	74189800.00%	50.34%	49.66%	0.00%
Michigan	17	48.27%	51.73%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	231374600.00%	247918300.00%	48.27%	51.73%	0.00%
Missouri	11	53.62%	46.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	145571300.00%	125917100.00%	53.62%	46.38%	0.00%
Montana	3	60.50%	39.50%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	26606300.00%	17371000.00%	60.50%	39.50%	0.00%
Nevada	5	51.32%	48.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	41869000.00%	39719000.00%	51.32%	48.68%	0.00%
New Hampshire	4	49.31%	50.69%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	33123700.00%	34051100.00%	49.31%	50.69%	0.00%
New Mexico	5	50.40%	49.60%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	37693000.00%	37094200.00%	50.40%	49.60%	0.00%
North Carolina	15	56.24%	43.76%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	196116600.00%	152584900.00%	56.24%	43.76%	0.00%
North Dakota	3	63.91%	36.09%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	19665100.00%	11105200.00%	63.91%	36.09%	0.00%
Ohio	20	51.06%	48.94%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	285872700.00%	273995200.00%	51.06%	48.94%	0.00%
Pennsylvania	21	48.74%	51.26%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	279384700.00%	293809500.00%	48.74%	51.26%	0.00%
Virginia	13	54.13%	45.87%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	171695900.00%	145474200.00%	54.13%	45.87%	0.00%
Wisconsin	10	49.81%	50.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	147812000.00%	148950400.00%	49.81%	50.19%	0.00%

Instructions:
Change the data in columns D, E, and F per your predictions
Do not change anything in the other cells; that will delete the formulas
In column F, input a decrease as a positive number
Notes:
This analyzes changes in turnout alone
All data taken from CNN 2004 Exit Poll
Assumes all new turnout voters support Obama
Assumes all abstaining Republican voters had supported Bush
Analysis Piece:	http://stateoftheunion.wordpress.com/2008/07/10/voter-turnout-analysis/
By Arjun Modi

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Data Sheet