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hull.19.08
by
btzoho
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Hull 19.08
beta (b)
0.920
0.920
Updated Volatility Estimate
If GARCH (1,1): alpha, beta, & gamma
Assumptions
omega (w)
0.0000020
0.0000020
Last Volatility
1.00%
1.00%
alpha (a)
0.060
0.060
Last Variance
0
0
alpha + beta (a+b)
0.9800
0.9800
Yesterday's price
1040
1040
gamma
0.020
0.020
Today's price
1060
1060
sum of weights:
1.000
1.000
Last Return
1.905%
1.923%
Long Term Variance
0.00010
0.00010
GARCH(1,1)
Long Term Volatility
1.0000%
1.0000%
Updated Variance
0.000116
0.000116
Updated Volatility
1.0760%
1.0779%
GARCH (1,1) Forecast
Number of days (t)
10
10
Forecast Variance
0.00011289
0.00011323
Forecast Volatility
1.0625%
1.0641%
Hull_19_08
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